H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Eye ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced modestly considering that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a hurricane on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was at first anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a big and very powerful hurricane that caused massive damage and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with large locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have actually now been provided for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates typhoon conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (locally as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally as much as 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Air Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a hurricane that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off hurricane cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of several island nations and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is just the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to cyclone expert Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone professionals formerly cautioned cyclones might form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe hazards and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy